All termsInvestments & Portfolio

VIX

The market's own estimate of how much the S&P 500 will swing over the next 30 days, read from option prices.

The Cboe Volatility Index is calculated from the prices of options on the S&P 500. Options cost more when traders expect larger moves, so the index works backwards from those prices to the volatility they imply, stated as an annualized percentage for the coming 30 days.

A reading of 20 implies an annualized swing of about 20%, or roughly 1.3% on a typical day. Readings in the low teens have tended to go with calm markets, and the largest spikes came in sharp sell-offs: the index closed above 80 in late 2008 and again in March 2020.

It is a forecast priced by the market rather than a record of what happened, and it describes the index rather than any particular portfolio. Because it tends to jump when stocks fall, it is often called the fear gauge.

Worked through

What a VIX reading implies for a typical day

VIXImplied daily move
120.8%
201.3%
301.9%
402.5%
The annualized figure divided by the square root of 252 trading days. Under that model about two days in three stay inside the range.

Where this lives in Promi

Dashboard. The Markets card shows the VIX beside the major indexes, over a day, a month and a year.

See your own vix

Promi computes this from your linked accounts, with the definition one click from the number.

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